Trent Richardson, RB, Colts: Fantasy Football Outlook
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Trent Richardson, RB, Colts

Position/Rank ADP NFL Team Status Experience Age Height Weight
RB - #20 62.41 IND Probable 3 years 23 5'9 230

2014 Outlook: Quality Backup

Last updated on Jul-14-2014 by Larry Goldstein

COMEBACK PLAYER OF THE YEAR CANDIDATE: No player has fantasy owners more perplexed coming into 2014 as much as Trent Richardson. The former Crimson Tide back (drafted No. 3 overall by the Cleveland Browns in 2012) came into the league as the consensus top rushing prospect in his draft class. In fact, at No. 3, he was the earliest running back to be selected in a draft since Reggie Bush went No. 2 in 2006. In fantasy drafts, Richardson was selected in the first round in nearly all leagues in both 2012 and 2013. Owners were punished with an underwhelming rookie year in 2012 and a far more dismal year in 2013 when Richardson was traded to the Colts for a first round draft pick only two weeks into the season. After two years in the NFL, Richardson has a 3.3 yards per carry average, which trumps his 16 total touchdowns and 2,200 total yards in the eyes of most fantasy players. The bar has been set so low that Richardson is currently the 20th RB off the board (58.25 ADP). Many are skeptical of the talk coming out of Indianapolis that consider Richardson to be a three-down weapon. It makes sense to have doubt considering the Colts continue to try and save face on a trade that (so far) has backfired. But, it can also be argued that Richardson was so shell-shocked by the trade that it took a season to adjust. A review of last year's game tape showcases a tentative Richardson behind the line of scrimmage. He simply lost confidence and strayed from what led him to be a top pick. The Colts are now saying that Richardson is back to his old self, relying on instincts rather than over-thinking his runs. As is often the case in fantasy, value can be found when you take a contrarian point of view. Richardson is a tremendous potential value if the Colts stay committed to him. With a void of sure thing running backs available, you can do worse than taking a shot on Richardson in the fifth round.

Latest Update

Jul-25-14 Colts RB Trent Richardson says he was playing injured last year

Richardson told ESPN's Mike Wells that he played much of last season with a chipped collar bone and a separated AC joint. "Toward the end of the season I felt more comfortable, but the other time I was more injured," Richardson said. Richardson struggled to assimilate into the Colts offense after being traded to the team by the Browns after Week 2. In total last season, Richardson took 223 touches for 879 all-purpose yards and four touchdowns.

Fantasy Analysis:

While the injury story is interesting, the biggest problem for Richardson last year was that he was completely lost in the Colts offense. He never had a chance to learn the scheme in a camp setting, and that showed in the ways he was used. When he came in to the game, it was almost always to rush, and rarely to pass-protect, and as a result defenses were able to stack the box against him, which helped contribute to his 3.0 yards per carry average. This year he'll have an opportunity to learn the system in camp. Colts management seem committed to Richardson - they don't want to look like fools for making the trade with Cleveland - so it seems like he'll get plenty of chances, especially early in the year. Richardson is currently ranked 40th overall by FFToolbox.com.

FFToolbox NFL News & Rumors

7/25 - Colts RB Trent Richardson says he was playing injured last year
7/25 - Colts RB Vick Ballard injured during camp
7/19 - Colts HC Chuck Pagano on RB Trent Richardson: 'Fully expect him to have a great year'
7/13 - Colts RB Trent Richardson to have first shot at starting job

Latest References to Trent Richardson on FFToolbox:

2013 Mock Draft Results

Month Position Franchise/Comments
2013 FFToolbox Staff Mock Draft #1
June 18th, 2013
1.09 FFToolbox - Chris Weeks 
2013 FFToolbox Expert Mock Draft #2
July 2nd 2013
1.05 Fantasy Sharks 
2013 FFToolbox Expert Mock Draft #1
June 25th, 2013
1.12 Bruno Boys - The 3 starting WR PPR format steered more of the first round picks toward early receiver picks than I was anticipating. Four of the five picks preceding mine were wide receivers which signaled that value was elsewhere. I was ecstatic to see Trent Richardson on the board here and happily selected him. By all accounts he may be in for one of the heaviest dual purpose running back workloads in recent memory. Richardson is on track to be at full health by Week 1 and given how ridiculously successful his injury-riddled rookie campaign was, the sky is the limit now that Pat ?Can?t Buy a First Down? Shurmur is gone.
2013 FFToolbox Expert Mock Draft #3
July 9th, 2013
1.05 TheHuddle - I'm high on Richardson in Norv's offense this year, but I am higher on Jamaal Charles who Jeff took right in front of me.
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