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Football > Teams > NFC North > Lions > Outlook

Detroit Lions

Finally, in his third season, Matthew Stafford was fully healthy. It's easy to forget that he only played 13 games in his first two seasons, but he made the most of his opportunities in 2011. With over 5,000 passing yards and 41 touchdown passes, Stafford was in the upper echelon of quarterbacks. Those numbers shouldn't be tough to replicate as long as Calvin Johnson is on the field. The emergence of a more reliable running game could take a small bite into Stafford's fantasy production though. Stafford has quickly established himself as a fantasy QB1 across all formats and he's only 24 years old.

Update (08/27): Stafford sustained an injury to his non-throwing hand. It is a non-issue.

Should Matthew Stafford sustain a serious injury, Shaun Hill would become a bye week fill-in. In 2010, he played in 11 games and performed admirably in Stafford's absense. The reality is that Hill is 32 years old and now has rookie Kellen Moore nipping at his heels. Moore may have been undrafted and brought in as a free agent, but the Boise State quarterback won a lot of college football games. It's possible that as the season presses on, Moore takes Hill's backup spot. For the time being though, Hill is penciled in as the Lions' backup quarterback.

Detroit's potent offense is worthy of close examination because the players who earn the most touches inevitably will score a lot of fantasy points. After missing his entire rookie year, Mikel Leshoure has a ton of potential. For those who hadn't heard, Leshoure will face a two-game suspension after pleading guilty to a possession of marijuana charge in early May. Putting that suspension aside, Leshoure is the main backup behind Jahvid Best, a player with a known injury history. If fantasy owners can grab Leshoure as a late-round flier, the upside makes him a worthwhile selection especially since he figures to be Detroit's goal-line back.

Update (8/12): Leshoure anticipates that he'll return to practice sometime in the next week.

Kevin Smith deserved another shot with his former team and he earned it when Detroit signed him during a rash of injuries suffered at the running back position. In his second week back on the field, he put up over 200 total yards and three touchdowns. If Jahvid Best sustains another big injury, the former Central Florida back is on the short list to reap the fantasy benefits. Let's not forget though that Smith's career was originally cut short because he couldn't stay healthy. If injuries pile up, Smith has already proven he can be good for a productive week or two, but he doesn't seem able to sustain that success.

Update (8/12): Smith should be considered Detroit's top back due to the injury concerns of both Best and Mikel Leshoure. Just remember this is a fluid situation that could end up changing week-to-week during the regular season.

After a flurry of injuries, the Lions were pressed into giving Keiland Williams touches sporadically last season. Detroit's offense requires their backs be able to catch the ball, so Williams is a natural fit. For fantasy owners, there just isn't any upside here. Williams had multiple games where he had at least nine touches and he didn't do much with those opportunities. Barring another unlucky, injury-riddled season for the Lions' running backs, Williams won't be worth a roster spot.

Update (8/12): Williams is in a depth chart battle with Joique Bell and Stephon Green.

There are few sure things in this world, but Calvin Johnson is close to being one of them. Expectations are high and they should be. Now that Megatron has a reliable quarterback to feed him the ball, there's no stopping him. Johnson began 2011 with nine touchdowns in the first five weeks and finished the year with career highs across the board. Now if Matthew Stafford gets injured, Johnson's numbers will nosedive, but that's a risk every stud receiver has to deal with. Draft Johnson confidently if you have the chance.

During the last four games of his rookie season, Titus Young scored four TDs and seemed to come into his own. The only thing between Young and a productive year is Nate Burleson. Young will need to produce if he wants to stick in the starting lineup. Either way, Detroit uses a lot of three receiver sets so Young should see a ton of playing time in one of the best offenses in the NFL. Young should be a popular choice as a potential sleeper, so be careful to not reach for him in your draft.

Injury Status: Injured Reserve

Ryan Broyles ended his collegiate career at Oklahoma as the FBS all-time leader in career receptions. He tore his left ACL in early November, which jeopardizes his chances to play early. Considering he may not be healthy until the preseason, it's unlikely he contributes much early in the season. Nate Burleson's seniority and the late season momentum from Titus Young's rookie year will be too much to overcome. We may see a small flash of his potential later in the season, but it won't be enough for fantasy owners.

Update (8/12): Broyles has been removed from the PUP list. He's a great dynasty league option, but as for this year, the rookie out of Oklahoma has a lot to prove.

Injury Status: Injured Reserve

Brandon Pettigrew's continued improvement shouldn't come as a surprise. Many identified him as a sleeper last season and were rewarded for their foresight. The question entering his fourth season is whether or not he still has any more room to grow? The problem is that Pettigrew runs only short to medium routes. His longest catch was only 27 yards and he only had seven receptions longer than 20 yards -- only 19th among tight ends. Pettigrew projects to be a reliable TE1 (especially in PPR leagues), but he simply lacks that big-play potential of a Rob Gronkowski or Jimmy Graham.

A nice mid-season run padded Tony Scheffler's overall numbers when he scored a touchdown in three consecutive games. While he is one of the more productive backup tight ends out there, he should only be considered in two TE leagues or if Brandon Pettigrew is injured. 2011 was Scheffler's first year with the Lions after toiling with the Denver Broncos. He's a great fit for this offense and he should continue to get red zone looks on occasion.

If Jason Hanson's career was a person, it'd be able to buy alcohol this season. Hanson is entering his 21st year as the Detroit Lions kicker. There have been lean years and there have been rich years. Since this offense scored the fourth-most points in the NFL last year, Hanson is most certainly a kicker to consider in the final round of your draft. Detroit's offense could continue to improve with the potential emergence of Titus Young and Mikel Leshoure, which means more points for Hanson.

Detroit's defense had three games where it produced two touchdowns. These high-scoring performances skew the numbers a bit. While points count all the same, the Lions' up and down play isn't ideal and should be considered one of the more risky options among the Top 10 defenses. Another good year would go a long way in establishing them as one of the better fantasy defenses. The Lions saw a big improvement in their pass defense, which limited big plays compared to years past. It's also worth noting that they will play the Packers twice, so starting them in those weeks is certainly a gamble.

Update (8/12): With the loss of cornerback Eric Wright to free agency, the release of his replacement Aaron Berry and the injury to safety Louis Delmas, this defense looks troubled. Delmas could be back before Week 1, but the appearance that this defense is in flux could slide them down some people's draft boards.

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