2012 Team Outlook: Jacksonville
Update 8-11-2012 - Toston was signed as depth when MJD started his holdout. Despite looking good in the first pre-season game playing with the 2nd and 3rd unit, he isn't worth drafting at this point.
WR Cecil Shorts, JAX - Not Draft Worthy
The Jaguars fourth-round pick in 2011, Shorts will be among those competing for the WR 4/5 spot. In this offense, that means he's not worth drafting.
Update- 8-11-2012- Despite looking better than Mike Thomas in training camp, I dont expect that to last and wouldnt consider Shorts as someone to draft.
WR Justin Blackmon, JAX - Quality Backup
The Jags got what they hope to be the final piece to the offensive puzzle. They drafted what they hope to be their QB of the future last year to play with MJD, all they were missing was a go to receiver. Enter Blackmon, a big play beast in college. As long as Blaine Gabbert can get him the ball, Blackmon will make plays. He was arrested in June for a DUI and will now be watched even closer as he gets his first arrest before playing his first game. If Blackmon can stay out of trouble and get focused on football, there is no reason to believe he wont be the best receiver on this team.
Update 8-11-2012 - Blackmon was the last first round pick to sign a contract missing at the start of camp. Also, he is dealing with some off field issues. If he can stay focused he will have no problem being the #1 reciever, unfortunately it will be with a below average QB and on one of the worst offenses in the NFL. Draft high in dysnaty, medium to low in non dynasty.
WR Lee Evans, --- - Over the Hill (decreased production)
Lee Evans didn't do much last season in his only year with the Baltimore Ravens. He looks to be on the down turn of his NFL career. Hard seeing the Jags offense being very explosive and even should it emerge, it will most likely be due to the other new receivers -- rookie Justin Blackmon and free agent signee Laurent Robinson. Leave Evans for someone else to draft, then mock them for doing so.
Update 8-11-2012- Evans' best years are behind him. Don't expect much of anything from this veteran.
Update 8-12-2012 - Evans was released
WR Laurent Robinson, --- - Gamble (high risk)
After years of promise that always ended in disappointment, Robinson finally flashed the game many have talked about for so long. In only 14 games with Dallas last year, he set career highs in all categories: receptions (59), yards (858) and touchdowns (11). Then Robinson took those numbers and parlayed them into a big contract with Jacksonville where he becomes a main focus rather than a WR3 target. While Robinson was a pleasant surprise to all fantasy owners last year, don't expect him to duplicate those numbers. He has been very injury prone and Blaine Gabbert is no Tony Romo. Draft with caution.
Update 8-11-2012- Robinson has already missed some time in camp with injuries, expect that to be a common theme with him. While he might start the season as the #1 receiver, don't expect him to end it that way. The newly acquired receiver has a lot of talent, but has rarely stayed healthy. Let someone else draft him.
WR Mike Thomas, --- - Deep-league Only
Mike Thomas signed a big contract extension last October and proceeded to have the worst year of his career. Inconsistent play from rookie QB Blaine Gabbert didn't help matters, but Thomas' poor attitude and issues with his now former WR coach also factored. The Jags did bring in two new wide outs to take over as the top two options. Having a more potent offense and other weapons on the field might actually help Thomas. Regardless he is nothing more than a late round flyer at best.
Update 8-11-2012- Thomas has struggled in camp and is fighting for position on the depth chart. As long as Robinson and Blackmon can stay healthy, Thomas can play in the slot where he does his best work and could be an interesting consideration deep in PPR leagues, follow how all this falls.